Call us on: 01353 662 442 or email info@camouse.co.uk
Search
Archives
What Will the Bank of England Do About Rising Inflation?
Posted on: 13th Apr 2022 by: CamOuse Financial Management Limited
This month’s 54 per cent rise in the energy price cap has put the cost of living firmly at the top of the news and the political agenda.
Following the increase, a household using a typical amount of gas and electricity can expect to pay nearly £2,000 a year for their energy, and this could go up to £2,600 in several months.
At the same time, council tax has gone up, car tax and water bills have increased, and the controversial 1.25 per cent National Insurance hike is going ahead.
This is clearly unsustainable and simply unaffordable for many households and businesses across the UK, and while the government has taken some steps to try to mitigate the impact, such as cutting VAT for homeowners who want to install heat pumps and solar panels, Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak has been widely criticised for not going further, particularly when it comes to helping people claiming benefits.
The Bank of England (BoE) has sought to tackle rising inflation by increasing interest rates over the last few months, and there is widespread speculation about what course the Monetary Policy Committee could take next.
But what weapons are in its armoury at a time when the BoE needs to straddle a narrow line between managing inflation without growth being hit and the UK slipping into recession?
Andrew Bailey, Governor of the BoE, last week told the think tank Bruegel that it is starting to see “evidence of a growth slowdown”, but refused to be drawn on what it would do next on interest rates.
“We have been very cautious on forward guidance language because things are so uncertain,” he commented.
However, Mr Bailey said the fact that growth and inflation are “pulling in different directions” makes it very difficult for the BoE to act.
“This is a big trade-off,” he continued. “I think it’s the biggest trade-off the Monetary Policy Committee has faced in its now approaching 25 years life.”
According to forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the UK economy will grow by 3.8 per cent this year. While this hopefully means the economy will avoid slipping into recession, it is still well down on the OBR’s previous estimate of six per cent growth.
The OBR then believes the economy will grow by 1.8 per cent in 2023, 2.1 per cent in 2024, 1.8 per cent in 2025 and 1.7 per cent in 2026.
Mr Bailey went on to tell the thinktank that the UK is facing a “very large shock to aggregate income and spending”, and its biggest economic shock since the 1970s, before warning “there is more to come on inflation shock”.
The annual inflation rate stood at 6.2 per cent in February – a 30-year high – but the OBR believes it could peak at 8.7 per cent in the final three months of the year.
“This is really an historic shock to real incomes,” Mr Bailey commented.
With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine compounding the problem and creating renewed global uncertainty, it is difficult to accurately predict too far ahead and what policymakers will do next.
But with so many households now facing a very real choice between heating and eating, it is clear that the calls for the government to provide more support will continue to get louder.
In March 2022, Citizens Advice saw a third consecutive monthly increase in the number of people getting crisis support. At the same time, the number being referred to food banks or to other charitable support was 44 per cent up on the same time last year.
As a result, Dame Clare Moriarty, Chief Executive of Citizens Advice, believes the energy price cap rise will be “potentially ruinous for millions of people”.
-
I thought CamOuse were very helpful and dealt with my enquiries promptly.
D Mowatt
Clive Nickalls
-
I have been a client of CamOuse's for many years. My advisors have provided assistance with mortgages, financial planning, investments and most importantly my future. The team remain passionate and professional and I would recommend CamOuse without question.
L Isbell
Trevor Honey & Clive Nickalls
-
The staff are always happy to help.
J Pearce
-
Lee has always given me excellent advice when choosing a new mortgage. I would highly recommend him.
R O'Dell
Lee Pooley
-
Everyone is very friendly, approchable, helpful and professional.
G Parr
Trevor Honey
-
I would like to thank Lee for all his help, he was amazing!
Silk & Schwarz
Lee Pooley
-
Lee was recommended to us by 2 of his existing clients, colleagues and friends of ours and I'm glad they did so! He made the whole process much simpler then we were expecting.
Burgess & Bedford
Lee Pooley
-
Lee has helped us on several occassions and we always appreciate and value his time and efforts.
I & A Murphy
Lee Pooley
-
I really appreciate the prompt, friendly, efficient service.
V Hardy
Clive Nickalls
-
Very pleased with the service provided and happy to recommend to my customers and friends and family.
M Chadburn
Clive Nickalls
-
I would like to express my thanks for the excellent service I have received and a special thank you to Hannah for keeping me updated and dealing with my queries in a very efficient and professional manner.
T Long
Matthew Theobald
-
Thank you (and Eve) so much for all your help and support towards our remortgage. We really appreciated your expertise.
Cant & Robbins
Lee Pooley
-
I would just like to thank you all on behalf of myself and Jordan. You, Eve and Max have been faultless and we couldn’t be more appreciative for all your help!
C Baldwin
Lee Pooley
-
Lee has provided me with mortgages and appropriate insurance for both my home and lease properties. He is professional and works to get policies in place in an extremely quick time frame. I would certainly recommend Lee and CamOuse to anyone and I personally will continue to use their service.
G Habbin
Lee Pooley
-
I have been a client of CamOuse Financial Management Ltd for many years and have always found their services to be of the highest quality.
N Parker
Jo Kurz
-
Amazing company, very friendly, professional, and always on hand to give sound advice. My family has been utilising their expertise for many years and have never been let down.
S Bradley
Jo Kurz
-
Sound financial advice and planning. Responsive and friendly service.
B O'Connor
Jo Kurz
-
The whole team at CamOuse are friendly, professional and always look after your best interests. Thanks for your help!
G Hall
Lee Pooley
-
We've only been with CamOuse just over a year but would highly recommend them. We deal with Matthew who is an excellent adviser, always very responsive to questions and goes the extra mile to help.
P Carter
Matthew Theobald
-
I was so pleased and relieved to find this company. Particularly pleasing is their communication - it's jargon-free, concise and clear. We've been very happy with advice given thus far, and also their responsiveness whenever we've had any queries.
A Cant
Jo Kurz
-
We used Lee at Camouse to arrange our mortgage and can highly recommend him to provide an honest and professional service in this area. We will certainly return to Lee for remortgage advice in the future.
A Attewell
Lee Pooley
-
Would like to extend our thanks to you and your team for a fantastic customer service as always.
E & R Mendoza
Lee Pooley
-
We paid a small fee to Camouse for whole of market mortgage broker services. As first time buyers, Lee and Eve were able to guide us through the process, find us a deal and sort out the applications in a really helpful friendly and efficient way. We were very satisfied and would recommend CamOuse to others for this service.
L Humphrey
Lee Pooley
-
I was extremely pleased with the quality of the service I received when arranging a mortgage as part of a house sale and purchase through CamOuse. Lee and Eve were very easy to contact and always quick to respond. I would definitely recommend their mortgage arrangement services.
G Dewdney
Lee Pooley
-
Jo has been extremely helpful and very patient and I will be recommending her highly to other family and friends of mine. I do sincerely appreciate the way Jo handled my issues and also the excellent and very professional way she conducted business. She is an absolute asset to CamOuse.
C Tate
Jo Kurz
-
CamOuse have been our go-to financial advisers since 2008 and have assisted with numerous mortgages, remortgages, insurances, and general financial advice. Lee Pooley and Eve Nowakowska have been invaluable during this time. We've built up an excellent relationship with both and trust them completely to do what's in our best interests. Both are an absolute pleasure to work with and I cannot recommend them, and by extension CamOuse, enough!
I Murphy
Lee Pooley
-
We used the services of CamOuse to help in buying our first home and setting up our mortgage and we were extremely happy with all the advice and help we got. We spoke to Lee mostly, who was really great! Very insightful, very friendly and helpful, very patient and all-round great service. Would happily seek their help again. Many thanks Lee!
C Bolas
Lee Pooley
-
We have been taking mortgage advice from CamOuse for over 20 years and are always impressed by their friendliness and professionalism.
N Amery
Lee Pooley
-
Thank you to Matthew and Julie for making a huge difference in my life when I thought I was so stuck and felt there was never going to be a way to move forward.
L Smith
Matthew Theobald
View our Privacy Notice.
Camouse Financial Management Limited is an Appointed Representative of Quilter Financial Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
None of the information contained in this website should be considered as personal recommendation and is for information only. Should you wish to make a financial transaction we recommend that you take personal financial advice after a thorough review of your personal and financial circumstances.
The information contained within the website is subject to the UK regulatory regime and is therefore primarily targets at customers in the UK.
Registered address: Unit 111, Lancaster Way Business Park, Ely, Cambridgeshire, CB6 3NX
Registered in England and Wales. Registered No: 05662116.
Understanding the true cost to your business
Pension arrangements must be available for all employees. There are three categories of employee:
Eligible
Aged between 22 and State Pension Age (SPA) with qualifying earnings over the Auto Enrolment earnings trigger
Non-eligible
Entitled
Important Notes
- Eligible jobholders must be auto-enrolled
- Non-eligible jobholders are allowed to be auto-enrolled if they want to
- Entitled workers are entitled to join a pension scheme, but the employer doesn't have to contribute
|
Qualifying Earnings lower threshold |
£5,772 |
|
Qualifying Earnings upper threshold |
£41,865 |
|
Automatic Enrolment earnings trigger |
£10,000 |
Minimum contribution level options:
|
8% of Qualifying Earnings of which |
3% is employer's (starting at 1%) |
|
9% of Basic Salary of which |
4% is employer's (starting at 2%) |
|
8% of Basic Salary of which |
3% is employer's (starting at 1%) |
|
(Where basic salary is at least 85% of total earnings) |
|
|
7% of gross earnings of which |
3% is employer's (starting at 1%) |
Pay reference period
Essentially the frequency that the jobholder is paid e.g. monthly, weekly etc. but with reference to the tax month, week etc. therefore it may not be the same as the payroll period.
Deduction and payment of contributions
It is the employer who is responsible to calculate, deduct and pay all contributions to the AE scheme. NOTE – the first and last contributions are likely to be for less than a full pay reference period and should be adjusted accordingly.
Payroll services
It can be seen that it is very important that the payroll system synchronises with the AE scheme otherwise the employer will not be carrying out all requirements and then penalties will be incurred.
Staging date
Based on the employer’s payroll size as at 1 April 2012 and can be found at www.thepensionsregulator.gov.uk/employers using your PAYE reference. The Qualifying Workplace Pension Scheme must be registered with The Pensions Regulator within 4 months of the staging date.
Compliance and communication
Postponement
Auto-Enrolment can be postponed for up to 3 months:
- For current eligible employees
- For workers that meet the criteria in the future for the first time e.g. avoid joining temporary or lower paid workers
Opt-Outs
All eligible employees must be auto-enrolled, but can, with the correct notification, opt-out within one month of joining the scheme and be treated as never having joined. They can opt back in and will automatically be auto-enrolled every 3 years in any case!
Communication
There is a wide range of information that must be provided to all employees at certain times, such as:
- The date auto-enrolment took place for eligible jobholders
- That non-eligible jobholders have the statutory right to opt in
- Entitled workers have the right to request the employer to enrol them into a pension scheme
Salary sacrifice
Contributions can be paid by effectively reducing salary, which saves on NI contributions, but employee must choose to do this – they cannot be forced, so a contractual variation will need to be implemented.
Default investment fund
Investment Options
All eligible employees will be automatically invested into a default investment fund, which is a balanced risk fund that is “life styled” to account for the employees approach to retirement. They also have the option to invest in a wide range of funds of their choosing.
Looks like there is an error with your comment. Please double check it and try again.
Your comment has been submitted for approval, please check back later.